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Grace vs Arrogance

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trump

From Townhall, Trump and the Myth of Immigrant Crime by Steve Chapman:

Excerpt:

Sampson thinks it is no coincidence that crime rates nationwide have plunged over the past two decades just as immigrants, authorized and unauthorized, were arriving in record numbers.

In the first place, these newcomers are generally less prone to break the law than native Americans. Most Mexicans who undertake the risks and sacrifices required to come here want to work at honest jobs and provide for their families, not rape and kill. Mexicans who want to rape and kill, after all, can find plenty of suitable targets without leaving home.

In the second place, the influx of foreigners, particularly from Mexico, has helped revive many blighted communities. They have generated economic activity and filled vacant buildings, both of which tend to curb crime. What’s true of Chicago, Sampson notes, is also true of New York and Los Angeles, where crime has subsided fastest in the neighborhoods with the highest immigrant concentrations.

Trump regards the backlash as a product of spineless pandering to groups that vigorously suppress any information they find inconvenient. But he has only managed to prove something his own admirers strive to forget: Just because a statement is politically incorrect doesn’t mean it’s true.

HKO

The greatest and most common abuse in political debate is the misuse of anecdotes to draw false political conclusions.  The media is a sucker for this when it fits their narrative and reactionary when it does not. The correlation between crime and immigration is as weak as the correlation between financial and political  success.

Trump damages the Republican cause just by being in the race. He is the face and the tone the opposition will put on the entire GOP field, and it will hurt whoever the nominee is. Bombastic statements are dangerous tools for a world leader. Business leaders with dictatorial powers in their business organizations are often ill prepared for the compromises requires to lead a political and participatory democracy.  Like any profession, politics requires experience, a history of nurtured relationships, and an understanding of the nuances required to move an agenda forward.

Inexperienced populist candidates, bragging about being an outsider,  can be ineffective at best and dangerous demagogues at worst.

By contrast Carly Fiorina also has no experience in elected office, although she did have a real campaign (unsuccessful) against Barbara Boxer. Unlike Trump she has shown grace on the campaign trail, and she has sought forums commonly unfriendly to conservative candidates.  Grace and fearlessness trumps arrogance and recklessness.

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The Criminal Candidate

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from The Wall Street Journal Hillary’s E-mail Story Unravels by Kimberly Strassel

Excerpt:

Nothing Mrs. Clinton has said so far on the subject is correct. The Democratic presidential aspirant on March 10 held a press conference pitched as her first and last word on the revelation that she’d used a private email server while secretary of state. She told reporters that she’d turned over to the State Department “all my emails that could possibly be work-related.” And she insisted that she “did not email any classified material to anyone on my email. There is no classified material.”
Not true and not true. The State Department has now admitted that it is aware of at least 15 work-related emails that Mrs. Clinton fully or partially withheld. We know this only because congressional Republicans, as part of their Benghazi probe, required longtime Clinton confidant Sidney Blumenthal to turn over his correspondence with her. It revealed work-related emails that had not been disclosed.

These don’t appear to be random oversights, but rather emails that Mrs. Clinton would likely have had an interest in keeping from the public. Most appear to be instances of her telling Mr. Blumenthal about State Department business, even though he was a private citizen and was advising a business seeking contracts from the Libyan government. Others appear to contain discussions that might undermine Mrs. Clinton’s or the administration’s public position on the Libyan conflict.

We also know that the State Department has now upgraded at least 25 of Mrs. Clinton’s emails to “classified” status. State is suggesting this is no big deal, noting that it is “routine” to upgrade material during the public-disclosure process. But that’s beside the point. This isn’t about after-the-fact disclosure. It’s about security at the time—whether Mrs. Clinton was sending and storing sensitive government information on a hackable private email system. Turns out, she was. For the record, it is a federal crime to “knowingly” house classified information at an “unauthorized location.”

HKO

We have a record of politicians committing ethical breaches in office, but I do not recall a candidate with the breach of ethical standards that comes close to the never ending disclosures from this candidate.  She is an embarrassment to her party. I am glad to see Democratic alternatives entering the race.

A Republican with her history and baggage could not get elected bouncer at a frat orgy.

 

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The Gradual Encroachment of Ideas

“It was perhaps John Maynard Keynes who said it best, in the closing chapter of The General Theory:

the ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than commonly understood. Indeed the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.”

“Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years back. I am sure that the power of vested interests is vastly exaggerated compared with the gradual encroachment of ideas.109”

Excerpt From: F. A. Hayek. “The Road to Serfdom.” University of Chicago Press, 2010-04-06. iBooks.
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Unexpected Results

“We are ready to accept almost any explanation of the present crisis of our civilization except one: that the present state of the world may be the result of genuine error on our own part and that the pursuit of some of our most cherished ideals has apparently produced results utterly different from those which we expected.”

Excerpt From: F. A. Hayek. “The Road to Serfdom.” iBooks. https://itun.es/us/vAe3H.l

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Socialist Means and Ends

“What he denied was that they could maintain those values and still carry out their proclaimed program of extensive central planning. As he succinctly put it, “socialism can be put into practice only by methods which most socialists disapprove.”104 Even if it were to begin as a “liberal socialist” experiment (none of the real-world cases have ever done so, one might add), full-scale planning requires that the planning authorities take over all production decisions; to be able to make any decisions at all, they would need to exercise more and more political control. If one tries to create a truly planned society, one will not be able to separate out control of the economy from political control. This was Hayek’s logical argument against planning, one that he had succinctly articulated in 1939 in “Freedom and the Economic System.”

“In the end agreement that planning is necessary, together with the inability of the democratic assembly to agree on a particular plan, must strengthen the demand that the government, or some single individual, should be given powers to act on their own responsibility. It becomes more and more the accepted belief that, if one wants to get things done, the responsible director of affairs must be freed from the fetters of democratic procedure”

Excerpt From: F. A. Hayek. “The Road to Serfdom.” University of Chicago Press, 2010-04-06. iBooks.
This material may be protected by copyright.

Check out this book on the iBooks Store: https://itun.es/us/vAe3H.l