McCain is ahead on the Zogby poll 49.7 to Obama 45.9.

McCain is ahead on the Gallup Poll as of today; 48 to Obama 45.

McCain and Obama are tied at Rasmussen 46 to 46.

Yet Obama still has a spread at Intrade of 56.2 to 43.7 which has narrowed considerable since before McCain’s acceptance.

What gives? Am I placing too much significance on Intrade? They were certainly out of the loop on the Palin choice until the last minute.

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