On 9/4/08 Intrade odds favored Obama significantly with 59.5% odds for Obama and 41.5% odds for McCain.
Today as of 7:51 PM they are about dead even with Obama at 49.4% and McCain at 49.3%.
The spread has narrowed from 18 to nearly zero in less than a week. Intrade has lagged the polls on this, with nearly every poll having McCain ahead , a distinct reversal from a few weeks ago.
Will it hold?
PS 9:40 PM McCain is ahead with 50% odds compared to Obama’s 48.8% for the first time in this campaign.
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