The Price of Rage

by Henry Oliner One of a few themes that I return to in this blog is the fascination with poor decisions from very intelligent people. It has led me from  reading history to reading about the way we think and the blocks to sound thinking. Nassim Taleb in Black Swan,...

Trend Illusions

by Henry Oliner The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli (highly recommended) is a compilation of biases and psychological barriers to clear and rational thinking. Dobelli warns of “trend gurus who see trends in everything”.  He contends this is “one of the most...

The Unreliable Consensus

Rupert Darwall in the Wall Street Journal,  Climate Alarmists Use the Acid-Rain Playbook A majority of scientists might say a scientific theory is true, but that doesn’t mean the consensus is reliable. The science underpinning environmental claims can be fundamentally...