Tag Archives

Archive of posts published in the tag: Intrade

Intrade on Trial

Romney is gaining rapidly on the Gallup poll yet Intrade still has Obama with a better than 60% chance of winning.  What gives?  I do not recall ever seeing this big a discrepancy in prior elections. Intrade has been wrong, and it…

Read More

Intrade Was Wrong

I am often a fan of the predictive power of Intrade.  But recently it forecast that the Supreme Court would strike down the mandate on Obamacare with better than a 70% certainty. They were wrong.  While still a useful tool…

Read More

Intrade Has Republicans Taking Senate

Intrade is now giving slight odds that the Republicans will take the Senate.  (51.1)   Intrade gives strong odds (75) that the Republicans will take the House.

Read More