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Archive of posts published in the tag: Intrade

Intrade on Trial

Oct. 18, 2012

Romney is gaining rapidly on the Gallup poll yet Intrade still has Obama with a better than 60% chance of winning.  What gives?  I do not recall ever seeing this big a discrepancy in prior elections. Intrade has been wrong, and it

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Intrade Was Wrong

Jun. 28, 2012

I am often a fan of the predictive power of Intrade.  But recently it forecast that the Supreme Court would strike down the mandate on Obamacare with better than a 70% certainty. They were wrong.  While still a useful tool

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Intrade Has Republicans Taking Senate

Oct. 08, 2010

Intrade is now giving slight odds that the Republicans will take the Senate.  (51.1)   Intrade gives strong odds (75) that the Republicans will take the House.

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