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Archive of posts published in the tag: expertise

The Media Disease

from The New Yorker, EVERYBODY’S AN EXPERT by Louis Menand Tetlock also found that specialists are not significantly more reliable than non-specialists in guessing what is going to happen in the region they study. Knowing a little might make someone a more…

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The Illusion of Expertise

from The New Yorker, EVERYBODY’S AN EXPERT by Louis Menand It is the somewhat gratifying lesson of Philip Tetlock’s new book, “Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?” (Princeton; $35), that people who make prediction their…

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