Election Observations

My favorite source of election predictions is Intrade.com, even when I do not like what I observe, which is definitely the case now. check out the predictions at http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/ The current snapshot today: 39% odds Giuliani wins the Republican nomination 25% Romney wins 18% Thomson wins Since the top two are pro choice and a Mormon, they stand to lose the Christian Right, many preferring to either sit out and let Hillary win rather than support a platform issue that they can not compromise. Add a third party attempt from Ron Paul (who actually ranks higher than McCain at this site) and you have a disaster for the Republicans. 66% odds show Clinton winning the Democratic nomination 12.5 % odds show AL GORE wining, who is not yet even running, and he even beats the 11.4% odds that Barak HUSSEIN Obama wins 46.2% odds that Hillary Wins the Presidential election, seconded by 15.3% odds that Giuliani wins yet this is the interesting diversion 62.6% odds that the Winner will be a Democrat, (but only 46.2 % odds that it will be Hillary?) 86% odds that the Senate remains in control by Democrats 81% odds that the House remains in Democrat hands Yes this is only a snapshot and the final elections are far away and it will be interesting to see how this will change in the coming year. There is a lot of time for major trend saving blunders that can mortally wound either side. Bush I seemed invincible after Desert Storm with nearly a 90% approval rating. Then he lost to Bill Clinton.