Rebel Yid on Twitter Rebel Yid on Facebook
Print This Post Print This Post

Andrew Breitbart

Andrew Breitbart 1969- 2012

Print This Post Print This Post

Noteworthy Reads 2012 02 25

From the Weekly Standard, Why the Climate Skeptics Are Winning Too many of their opponents are intellectual thugs.

Excerpts:

Turns out the greens take in much more money from fossil fuel interests than the skeptics do.

The Gleick episode exposes again a movement that disdains arguing with its critics, choosing demonization over persuasion and debate. A confident movement would face and crush its critics if its case were unassailable, as it claims.

From Defining Ideas, A Hoover Institution Journal, Charles Blahous writes The Dark Side of the Payroll Tax Cut

Excerpt:

The recent shift to income-tax-financing embodied in President Obama’s payroll tax cut policy cannot be said to represent a bipartisan agreement with this new policy view. Instead, the payroll tax cut was first proposed on the basis that it was necessary for economic stimulus, and later extended with the argument that doing otherwise would impose a painful tax increase on working Americans. The fact that the law also contained a provision to begin significant subsidization of Social Security with income taxes only belatedly gained the notice of the press, and not yet of the general public.

A critical milestone has nevertheless been passed. Beginning in December 2010, and continuing through to the present time, the federal government has embraced the policy of committing income taxes to subsidize benefits beyond those that Social Security itself can finance. Unless this policy is rapidly reversed, readers of this article who pay income taxes should brace themselves for the substantial new taxes they will soon be paying to bail out Social Security.

From Carpe Diem Mark Perry Posts Don Boudreaux Responds to O’Reilly’s Nitwitery-

Excerpt:

So I ask: are you guilty of an offense against those many Americans who – as a result of your responding to market signals regarding the value of your services – must now pay higher prices for the privilege of hearing your commentary?

Print This Post Print This Post

Who Is Not Paying Their Fair Share?

An eye popping chart from Heritage. Chart of the Week: Nearly Half of All Americans Don’t Pay Income Taxes.

Print This Post Print This Post

Why the iPhone is made in China

From the New York Times: How the U.S. Lost Out on iPhone Work
By CHARLES DUHIGG and KEITH BRADSHER, 1/21/12

Print This Post Print This Post

The Stimulus Fallacy

Charles Wolf writes in The Weekly Standard,  Where Keynes Went Wrong- What if government spending depresses instead of stimulates? 11/7/11

Excerpt:

Keynes assumed that the initial deficient level of aggregate demand would remain unchanged until the stimulative (“pump-priming”) effect of additional government spending kicked in. In other words, increased government spending, or its anticipation, would not further diminish pre-existing levels of consumer demand and investment demand. However, Keynes’s failure to consider the possibility of an adverse effect from government spending — that it might lead to still further decay in the prior levels of consumption and investment — was a fundamental flaw in the theory.

So how might government spending actually undermine its explicit purpose of boosting aggregate demand?

It is quite plausible that the behavior of consumers and investors might change as an unintended consequence of the increased government spending, and might do so in ways that would partly, fully, or even more than fully offset the attempted effort to raise aggregate demand.

That prior consumption demand might actually have been reduced as a result of recent government stimulus spending is suggested by two indicators: Since mid-2009, household savings increased by 2-3 percent of GDP, and household debt decreased by 8.6 percent ($1.1 trillion).

It is also plausible that investment demand might shrink as a result of increased government spending or its anticipation. This diminution might occur if investors have recourse to other investment opportunities that seem more profitable or less risky than those that would accompany or follow the attempted government stimulus. For example, such opportunities might lie in investing abroad where tax liabilities are less onerous, rather than investing at home; or investors might choose to invest in long-term instruments (30-year U.S. government bonds) while reducing investment in fixed capital or equities. These opportunities might seem rosier because of anticipated increases in future taxes, or because of increased regulatory restrictions that might (and did) accompany the increased government spending. In fact, such alternative investment opportunities are much more numerous and accessible now than in Keynes’s era.

HKO comment:

The stimulus effect performed poorly during the Great Depression, and is performing even worse during this recession.  There are other changes that impact this idea.  More Americans are investors as a result of the popularity of 401k’s and the requirement that they have a say in how their money is deployed.  Few people during the Great Depression had the level of mortgage and credit card debt they have today.

In addition to the expectation of higher taxes there is an accumulation effect of regulations that have stifled business investment.  Paying down debt reduces consumption, but it leaves us stronger.  It is a correction of the unsustainable stimulus we experienced from excessive debt.  We deluded ourselves to believe this time was different.

The author also noted that since income taxes were so low during the 1930’s a tax cut as a stimulus was not a viable option.  Today it is.

The obsession with Keynesian stimulus ignores significant differences in our modern economy and culture.  It is foolish to think it will work this time; especially when it failed the first time.  It is debatable whether it has ever worked.