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Political Observations 2023 01 09

From Notable and Quotable in WSJ (12/27/20022). From “The most underdiscussed fact of the 2022 election: how historically close it was” by Harry Enten for CNN.com, Dec. 26: An examination of the data reveals that 2022 was a historically close election in a...

Economic Thoughts 2023 01 08

Deficit spending is stimulative to economic growth: raising taxes on business and higher interest rates are a disincentive to economic growth.  Doing both at the same time is incoherent and a recipe for stagnation. If there is a tradeoff between a recession and...

Seduced by Numbers

A Review of the book , “Escape from Model Land” in The WSJ explains the limits of models in determining policy.  My Life as a Quant was written decades ago about an academic with a Phd in math and physics hired by a hedge fund to construct risk models.  He...

Bagehot and the Fed

from a letter to the editor at The WSJ: What Walter Bagehot Could Teach the Fed Kudos to Howard Adler for finally stating clearly what few others will: “The Treasury funds its lending by issuing debt, and the Fed purchases that debt by printing money. This expands the...