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Making Judgment Obsolete

Modern investment theory says that public securities markets- computerized, blazingly fast, effusively liquid- are as close as mankind has ever come to realizing the perfectly efficient market of classical economic theory. In such a perfect market, entrepreneurship is impossible. The entrepreneur’s profit comes from superior judgment, but in a perfect market no one’s judgment can be better than the market’s. In the ideology of modern finance, attempting to exercise ordinary judgment when building a portfolio of  publicly traded securities is considered not only futile but actually dangerous. Judgement is everywhere to be replaced by structure and process.

To say, as so many did in the wake of the crash, that the bankers were reckless, heedless of risk, is exactly the opposite of the truth. They were so obsessed with risk that they became terrified to live by their own judgment. If the ideology of modern finance had a motto, it might be “thinking doesn’t work.”

From Panic- The Betrayal of Capitalism by Wall Street and Washington by Andrew Redleaf and Richard Vigilante

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Category: Economics, Politics

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2 Responses

  1. Robbo says:

    Henry

    Interesting point… that we are close to a judgement free market… of course the govenment has been trying to take away the necessity for good judgement for decades by ensuring for us a world where nothing can harm us and we can’t even accidentally harm ourselves. I guess it’s a good thing we won’t need judgement to invest in the market since it has been slowly bred out of the public’s consciousness

  2. Michael says:

    these forces are also present online, this firefox addon will always make sure that you are buying your current item at the lowest price. I do not believe these kinds of forces make entrepreneurship irrelevant because machines still cannot think for themselves and that is where modern entrepreneurs come in.

    https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/11377/

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